Brighton and Chelsea are set to clash at the Amex Stadium on Valentine’s Day (kick-off 8pm), in a Premier League match where both teams desperately need the points. This game is less than a week after the Seagulls’ 2-1 comeback victory at home against the Blues in the FA Cup fourth round.
Head-to-Head Stats
The historical head-to-head record favours Chelsea, with 16 wins compared to Brighton’s 4, and 5 draws in their 25 previous meetings. However, Brighton have scored in each of their last seven matches against Chelsea. In those 18 games, the teams have averaged around 3 goals per match.
Brighton’s Form
Brighton’s recent form at home has been shaky. They are winless in their last five home league games, with three draws. Their last league game resulted in a heavy 7-0 defeat away to Nottingham Forest. Brighton is also the only Premier League side yet to score in the first 20 minutes of a home league game this season.
Chelsea’s Form
Chelsea managed a comeback 2-1 win against West Ham in their last league outing. However, they have struggled away from home, winless in five away games across all competitions since mid-December, with three losses. Chelsea’s defense has been leaky, conceding nine goals in their last five games.
Prediction
Chelsea might have a slight edge based on Opta’s pre-match simulations, giving them a 41.1% chance of winning. Both teams have a tendency to be involved in high-scoring games. Expect goals, as Chelsea’s last six games have produced three or more goals, with both teams scoring in the last five.
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